SPX Reaching Historical Extremes on Weekly/Monthly Chart

We are starting to see some very extreme readings on our monthly and weekly index charts since there has been no correction this year.  I posted below first the monthly chart of the S&P 500 going back 15 years showing bollinger bands – rarely do we get above the upper monthly one, and never have we been this far above during this time frame.  Then below that I posted…

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There is a Rotation Afoot

After breaking a key support trend line that connected the lows of November, December, February and April the S&P 500 has pulled off yet another "V shaped" upward move similar to so many others since 2009.  The index finished at new closing highs yesterday and is now up 7 of 8 sessions as we enter an economic and central bank heavy portion of the calendar.  The fact it has…

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Equities Rally But So Do Bonds – What Gives?

Chris Burba (@ChrisBurbaCMT on twitter) just posted this interesting chart showing a major divergence between how bonds and stocks are acting.  Normally bonds will sell off as equities rally as we go into 'risk on' mode.  However this week even as equities rallied, bonds held quite steady and on a day like today are acting very strong.  Yields continue to fall.  Even as equities "honeybadger" their way up.  So…

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Launch of Paladin Long Short Fund (PALFX)

Hanna Capital is proud to announce the launch of its flagship fund, the Paladin Long Short Fund (PALFX).  Available through a variety of brokers as well as direct purchase, this no-load fund seeks capital appreciation.  See the fund's prospectus here. Distributor: Capital Investment Group, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC , 17 Glenwood Ave, Raleigh, NC 27603, (800) 773-3863.  There is no affiliation between Hanna Capital LLC, including its principals, and Capital Investment Group, Inc….

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Mar19

The market put in another solid week, with Tuesday (FOMC + JPMorgan dividend) dominating the action.  The small break of support (20 day) on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ two Tuesdays ago, which seemed to be the first chance of any sort of correction this year, was quickly put to rest with a rumor of sterlized quantitative easing floated in the WSJ the very next morning.  And since then there has been no looking back.  At this point talking of 'corrections' and even 'pullbacks' makes one look foolish – which usually is a good sign there is one around the corner.  But as readers know, we no longer work in normal markets but ones flooded with central banking "not so invisible" hands. 

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Mar16

Today is an excellent example of why the senior indexes won't quit even as a lot of stocks pullback and semi-correct.  Monday we had utilites / dividend / safety stocks run.  Tuesday it was "everything", but led by financials post FOMC meeting and especially consumer related (housing, retail).   The same two groups dominated Wednesday, but pro growth cyclical industrials kicked in.  REITs were also hot in the first half of the week.

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Mar16

PIMCO's Bill Gross joined Dan Gross on Yahoo Tech Ticker to discuss a host of bond related and economic views.  Much like myself, he sees another round of QE (sterlized or otherwise) – in fact he takes it another step further and says there is a good chance of QE4 as well. :)

Another round (or two) of quantitative easing from the Federal  Reserve, muted growth and an end to the 30-year bull run in government  bonds. That's what Bill Gross,  one of the largest bond investors in the world, sees for the U.S.  economy in the coming year.

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Mar16

Based on some of the "action" and commentary in the past few days, it appears many believe the Fed is potentially stepping away from the monetary easing parade based on comments from the last FOMC meeting.  I don't believe that, nor does Goldman's top economist honcho, Jan Hatzius.

“It has definitely become a closer call, but we still expect another asset purchase program that involves purchases of both mortgage-backed securities and Treasurys,” he said.

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Mar15

It appears the answer is yes.  After a few decades of the 'financilization' of all things in America – the past few years seems to have turned the tide (somewhat) away from a massive funnel of the best and brightest college grads deposited directly into the palms of Wall Street.  I'd note this specifically for Harvard B-school which is cited in the story below - that is the epicenter of future Goldman, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan-ites.  Anything that gets some of these brains into more of the 'production' (or even 'service') parts of the economy, rather than the 'toll takers' is a plus in my book.  It seems quite a sea change might be happening, as more want to be the next Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, or Mark Zuckerberg rather than the next person "doing God's work".

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