SPX Reaching Historical Extremes on Weekly/Monthly Chart

We are starting to see some very extreme readings on our monthly and weekly index charts since there has been no correction this year.  I posted below first the monthly chart of the S&P 500 going back 15 years showing bollinger bands – rarely do we get above the upper monthly one, and never have we been this far above during this time frame.  Then below that I posted…

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There is a Rotation Afoot

After breaking a key support trend line that connected the lows of November, December, February and April the S&P 500 has pulled off yet another "V shaped" upward move similar to so many others since 2009.  The index finished at new closing highs yesterday and is now up 7 of 8 sessions as we enter an economic and central bank heavy portion of the calendar.  The fact it has…

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Equities Rally But So Do Bonds – What Gives?

Chris Burba (@ChrisBurbaCMT on twitter) just posted this interesting chart showing a major divergence between how bonds and stocks are acting.  Normally bonds will sell off as equities rally as we go into 'risk on' mode.  However this week even as equities rallied, bonds held quite steady and on a day like today are acting very strong.  Yields continue to fall.  Even as equities "honeybadger" their way up.  So…

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Launch of Paladin Long Short Fund (PALFX)

Hanna Capital is proud to announce the launch of its flagship fund, the Paladin Long Short Fund (PALFX).  Available through a variety of brokers as well as direct purchase, this no-load fund seeks capital appreciation.  See the fund's prospectus here. Distributor: Capital Investment Group, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC , 17 Glenwood Ave, Raleigh, NC 27603, (800) 773-3863.  There is no affiliation between Hanna Capital LLC, including its principals, and Capital Investment Group, Inc….

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Aug10

The general market has been consolidating last Friday's move the entire week.  Each morning we have had a gap up or down (not big ones) and then after 11 AM the market is listless.  There is no volume out there and it appears everyone with big pockets went to the Hamptons. If it were not for all the gap ups in a row Fri-Tue (can't see it on the stockcharts.com chart) this would be a little bit more of an assuring pattern, but take those away and you have a solid bull flag forming on the S&P 500. 

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Aug10

In the George Costanza market way of thinking, poor data is good because it means more easing.  That was certainly the case yesterday as a bevy of Chinese data (industrial production, retail sales) was worse than expected, yet equities held in.  In fact, commodity type of equities – those most tied to China – were the best performers yesterday as expectations rose for China easing.  Overnight, we've had another round of poor Chinese news – I guess we need to be shocked the market has not gapped up 1% on it, as the worse it gets the more policy action "must" happen. 

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Aug09

While we are seeing a decent bounce and digestion in the senior indexes (the Russell 2000 still needs some work) the transports refuse to play along.  For the old school Dow Theorists this remains a major fly in the ointment.   As I go deeper into the subsectors airlines are relatively weak due to the run in oil, railroads are relatively strong, but trucking is the one giving the most mixed messages.  UPS and FDX also are not doing much at all.

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Aug09

Oil is definitely putting on the "global monetary easing" trade – frontrunning the expected actions in the weeks ahead.  This parallel to runs  ahead of such actions in previous years.  Gold is perking up a bit too but nowhere near what the oil sector is doing.   Some selected sector ETFs below:

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Aug09

As the market continues to grind higher, a lot of the leadership of first half 2012 is being blown up one by one during this earnings season.  It is quite interesting to see the "whose who" of growth stocks take it on the chin one after the other – last night Monster Beverage was down as much as 20% after hours but has come back this morning to "only" be down 8%ish.   But even before last evening it has not participated in the rebound from early June.

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